Best Month to Invest in ARW (ARW)
Based on 47 years of data (1980–2026), December is the best month to invest in ARW with an average return of +3.94% and a 63% win rate. The worst month is September (-2.63%).
Average Monthly Returns for ARW
Cyan = best month, Red = worst month, Green = positive average, Muted red = negative average.
Monthly Return Breakdown
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | -0.07% | 50% | 46 |
| February | +3.14% | 52% | 46 |
| March | +0.51% | 51% | 47 |
| April | +3.72% | 63% | 46 |
| May | -1.19% | 50% | 46 |
| June | -0.87% | 39% | 46 |
| July | +2.47% | 67% | 46 |
| August | -0.81% | 48% | 46 |
| SeptemberWorst | -2.63% | 35% | 46 |
| October | +0.86% | 48% | 46 |
| November | +2.66% | 63% | 46 |
| DecemberBest | +3.94% | 63% | 46 |
Equity Curve & Cycle Detection
If you invested $1,000 in ARW during a specific calendar month each year, how would it have grown? Toggle cycle detection to see rising and declining phases on the curve.
Advanced Cycle Detection with Spectral Analysis
The cycle overlay above uses a simple detrended moving average. Seasonal Edge offers a much more powerful cycle detection engine inside the app:
- ●Lomb-Scargle periodogram — finds dominant cycle periods even with unevenly spaced trade data
- ●Cycle regime analysis — projects the cycle forward to identify historically rising and declining phases
- ●Daily precision — analyze seasonal patterns with exact entry/exit dates, not just monthly averages
How to Read This Data
Average Return is the mean percentage change from the first trading day to the last trading day of each calendar month, averaged across 47 years.
Win Rate shows how often ARW finished the month with a positive return. A 75% win rate means ARW gained value in that month 3 out of every 4 years.
Median Return is the middle value when all yearly returns for that month are sorted. Unlike the average, the median is not skewed by extreme outliers.
Seasonal patterns are historical tendencies, not guarantees. Past performance does not predict future results. Use this data as one input alongside your own research.
See the Full Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal Edge screens 4,000+ securities for seasonal patterns with daily precision — not just monthly averages. Find exact entry and exit dates with win rates and historical backtests.
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What is the best month to invest in ARW?▾
Based on 47 years of data, December is the best month to invest in ARW. The stock has averaged a +3.94% return in December with a 63% win rate.
What is the worst month for ARW?▾
September is historically the weakest month for ARW, with an average return of -2.63% and a 35% win rate.
How reliable is this seasonal data?▾
This analysis uses 47 years of daily closing price data from 1980 to 2026. More years of data generally makes the pattern more reliable. However, seasonal patterns are tendencies, not certainties. Market conditions, economic events, and company-specific factors can override historical patterns in any given year.